O Valor de Shapley
Por: Felipe Valboeno • 13/11/2019 • Artigo • 649 Palavras (3 Páginas) • 198 Visualizações
Game Theory Professor Giacomo Bonanno
COOPERATIVE GAMES: the SHAPLEY VALUE
The description of a cooperative game is still in terms of a characteristic function
which specifies for every group of players the total payoff that the members of S can obtain by
signing an agreement among themselves; this payoff is available for distribution among the
members of the group.
DEFINITION. A coalitional game with transferable payoff (or characteristic function
game) is a pair N, where N = {1, ..., n} is the set of players and for every subset S of I
(called a coalition) (S) is the total payoff that is available for division among the members
of S (called the worth of S). We assume that the larger the coalition the higher the payoff (this
property is called superadditivity):
for all disjoint S, T N, v(S T) v(S) + v(T)
As before, an agreement is a list (x1, x2, …, xn) where xi is the proposed payoff to
individual i. Shapley proposed some conditions (or axioms) that a solutions should satisfy and
proved that there is a unique solution that meets those conditions. The solution, known as the
Shapley value, has a nice interpretation in terms of expected marginal contribution. It is
calculated by considering all the possible orders of arrival of the players into a room and giving
each player his marginal contribution. The following examples illustrate this.
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EXAMPLE 1. Suppose that there are two players and v({1}) = 10, v({2}) =12 and
v({1,2}) = 23. There are two possible orders of arrival: (1) first 1 then 2, and (2) first 2 then 1.
If 1 comes first and then 2, 1’s contribution is v({1}) = 10; when 2 arrives the surplus
increases from 10 to v({1,2}) = 23 and therefore 2’s marginal contribution is v({1,2}) v({1}) =
23 10 = 13.
If 2 comes first and then 1, 2’s contribution is v({2}) = 12; when 1 arrives the surplus
increases from 12 to v({1,2}) = 23 and therefore 1’s marginal contribution is v({1,2}) v({2}) =
23 12 = 11.
Thus we have the following table:
Probability Order of arrival 1’s marginal contribution 2’s marginal contribution
1
2 first 1 then 2 10 13
1
2 first 2 then 1 11 12
Thus 1’s expected marginal contribution is: 1
2 10 + 1
2 11 = 10.5 and 2’s expected
marginal contribution is 1
2 13 + 1
2 12 = 12.5. This is the Shapley value: x1 = 10.5 and x2 = 12.5.
EXAMPLE 2. Suppose that there are three players now and v({1}) = 100, v({2}) =125,
v({3}) = 50, v({1,2}) = 270, v({1,3}) = 375, v({2,3}) = 350 and v({1,2,3}) = 500. Then we
have the following table:
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v({1}) = 100, v({2}) =125, v({3}) = 50, v({1,2}) = 270, v({1,3}) = 375, v({2,3}) = 350 and v({1,2,3}) = 500
Probability Order of arrival 1’s marginal contribution 2’s marginal contribution 3’s marginal contribution
1
6
first 1 then 2 then 3:
123
v({1}) = 100 v({1,2}) v({1}) = 270 100
= 170
v({1,2,3}) v({1,2}) =
500 270 = 230
1
6
first 1 then 3 then 2:
132
v({1}) = 100 v({1,2,3}) v({1,3}) =
500 375 = 125
v({1,3}) v({1}) = 375 100
=
...